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12/01/2017
Country risk

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21/12/2016
Country risk

South Africa’s economy challenged by crises in agriculture and mining, amid fears of an investment downgrade

Concerns over the country’s economic performance have been amplifying, due to its prolonged economic decline since 2011 (...)

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20/12/2016
Country risk

After a series of shocks in 2015 and 2016, Turkey’s economy is coming to the end of its new “Tulip era”

Greater political uncertainty resulting from two parliamentary elections in 2015, drying global liquidity due to the US Federal Reserve’s rate hike process and the weaker Turkish lira, all contributed to dragging down growth.

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13/12/2016
Country risk

Uberisation of French economy: A positive impact on employment, but will it last?

France is one of the leaders in collaborative economics in Europe, with more than 50 companies in this field. Prior to 2012, an imbalance between supply and demand in traditional sectors.

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30/11/2016
Country risk

German Economy in 2017: Stable, but not staid

The signs for Germany’s further economic development are promising, with a high level of stability. Coface’s expectations for solid growth therefore come as little surprise.

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25/11/2016
Sectors Risk

Global sector risks in precarious balance

At the end of 2016, global sector trends remained mixed, including in the regions that until now have been relatively spared by the increase in risks. Over the whole year, across 12 sectors evaluated in six regions of the world, nearly half saw their assessments change. There were 23 downgrades for 10 upgrades.

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09/11/2016
Country risk

Mexico’s Economy: more difficult times ahead

In the 2nd Quarter of 2016, seasonally adjusted activity decelerated to 1.5%, down from 2.5% y/y reported in the previous period. Industry, which shrank by 1.5% q/q, was the main contributor to this weak result, due to the fall in oil production and challenges faced by manufacturing and construction industries. The services sector also slowed during the period, to a growth rate of 2.4% YoY, down from 3.4% for 1Q2016.

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09/11/2016
Country risk

The first arrow of Abenomics: why is it not working?

Why did the yen depreciation, which occurred during the early success of the first arrow, not boost Japan’s merchandise export volumes?

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17/10/2016
Country risk

Infographics - Is political risk a new threat for the global economy?

European political calendar: crucial deadlines

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17/10/2016
Country risk

Rising political risks in developed countries: the sword of Damocles hangs over Europe’s major economies

Periods of economic crisis naturally lead to heightened political uncertainty and this aspect is crucial in assessing country risks.

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14/10/2016
Corporate news

Coface welcomes Fitch’s decision to affirm its AA- rating

Fitch Ratings issued, on September 29th 2016, a press release on Coface in which the agency affirms the Group’s Insurer Financial Strength (IFS) rating at 'AA-', Outlook Stable.

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14/10/2016
Sectors Risk

Further downgrades triggered by the Brexit shock and falling oil revenues

Global growth: stability in developed countries, slight improvements among emerging economies.

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26/09/2016
Country risk

Latin America: Why are manufacturing exports still lackluster?

Foreign trade is unlikely to be a main contributor to the growth of Latin American economies over the next few years.

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22/09/2016
Corporate news

Coface Fit to Win 3-year plan financial ambitions

Fit to Win plan to transform Coface into the most agile global trade credit partner in the industry, while evolving to a more efficient capital model.

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20/09/2016
Country risk

Moroccan company payments survey 2016

Morocco’s growth rate has slowed in 2016, after recording an increase of close to 4.5% in 2015.

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16/09/2016
Country risk

Short-term risk is reduced for the French automotive sector, but profound changes are ahead

The automotive sector has been upgraded to the best risk category
Private buyers are returning to the car market, driving up sales of new vehicles, which are expected to increase by 5.6% in 2016

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16/09/2016
Country risk

The French economy: a temporary pause in growth

Q2 impacted by external shocks
2016 growth forecasts remain positive at 1.6%
Non-financial corporate debt: an upward momentum unique in Europe but far below alert thresholds

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16/09/2016
Country risk

Poland Insolvency Report: Insolvencies fall amid fair economic growth

Poland’s economy is slowing this year, although the growth rate will remain fair: 3.2% for 2016, following 3.6% in 2015
Business is benefiting from positive macroeconomic conditions
Insolvencies and restructuration proceedings fell by over 14%. Coface forecasts further improvements, with the number of proceedings falling in 2016 and 2017

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09/09/2016
Sectors Risk

Agrofood in North Africa: a strategic sector at nature’s mercy

Several favorable factors are boosting the sector, including rising populations, increasing demand for processed food, higher per capita incomes and improved production capacities. Infrastructures, climate and government strategies are major influencers.

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05/09/2016
Country risk

Coface publishes CEE TOP 500 Companies

Biggest players benefit from favorable business conditions in CEE
• Booming economy: +4.2% increase in turnover
• Poland wins again, Czech Republic climbs to second place, followed by Hungary
• Sectors: 12 out of 13 sectors report increase in turnover - only oil & gas remains in difficulties

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31/08/2016
Sectors Risk

Pharmaceutical companies in the United States face two opposing scenarios for their business: 'optimistic' or 'pessimistic'

Despite strong private and public investments, health indicators in the United States are below average compared to the 12 most advanced countries

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