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29/06/2018
Country risk

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25/06/2018
Country risk

Country and sector risks worldwide: Signals of risk on the increase in the 2nd quarter

Downgraded assessments in the majority this quarter.

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01/06/2018
Sectors Risk

Global metals sector: prices to continue to rise in 2018, ahead of a possible slight decline in 2019

On the back of highly-synchronised economic growth, technological shifts boosting a surge in the use of metals and a shortfall in supply, metals have been benefitting from a bull market since mid-2016 (...)

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24/05/2018
Country risk

Election season in Latin America: Growing political risks undermine economic activity

The Coface Political Risk Index takes into consideration various risk aspects:

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14/05/2018
Country risk

Western Balkans’ accession to EU membership likely to be completed - supported by the region’s strategic importance

The European Union - Western Balkans Summit will take place in Sofia, Bulgaria, on the 17th of May 2018. This meeting aims to reaffirm the EU’s commitment towards the Western Balkans gaining EU membership. Coface’s economists see the EU accession as likely to happen, particularly as it would counterbalance Russian and Chinese presence in the region.

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24/04/2018
Country risk

Africa: diminishing reserves increase risks of another crash

Adversely affected by the slump in raw material prices, most African currencies lost over 20% of their value between 2013 and 2016

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10/04/2018
Country risk

New Mediterranean trade routes will be through the South and East of the region

In the Mediterranean, the recent rise in protectionism is starting to transform the vast network of free trade agreements and reshape intra-Mediterranean trade routes. Two new trends are emerging.

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10/04/2018
Country risk

Country and sector risks worldwide

Now that peak growth has been reached in the United States and Europe, businesses are preparing for supply side constraints and the risk of protectionism

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03/04/2018
Country risk

Central and Eastern Europe: Political risks on the rise but no impact yet on local businesses

With the wave of ongoing elections in countries such as Hungary, Czech Republic, Poland and Slovenia, Central and Eastern Europe is undergoing a major period of change against the background of economic growth that is still strong (...)

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16/03/2018
Country risk

Regional economic ambitions of China and Japan show striking parallels

According to Coface, China and Japan are becoming competitors for trade and investment in the Asia Pacific region (...)

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09/03/2018
Country risk

Insolvent or ‘zombies’, distressed companies represent nearly 6% of the total in France

The beginning of the year marked a clear improvement in key business insolvency indicators (...)

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28/02/2018
Country risk

NAFTA renegotiations - could Mexico’s “high-risk” automotive industry deteriorate into a crisis?

Mexico’s automotive industry plays an important role in its economy (...)

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23/01/2018
Country risk

Country Risk Conference 2018: the upturn continues, but corporates risk overheating

During its annual conference on country and sector risks, Coface shares with companies its vision of the major global economic trends for 2018

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21/12/2017
Country risk

Turkey records dynamic growth but is increasingly vulnerable to external factors

Turkey’s economy recorded substantial growth during the first three quarters of 2017, up by 7.4% compared to a year earlier. This was achieved despite the series of shocks which occurred in the country in 2016 (...)

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14/12/2017
Country risk

Although dynamic, France’s organic food sector could be forced to abandon its original principles in order to increase scale

The increasing preference of households for organic food is reflected in the sector’s very strong growth which is expected to exceed €8 billion in 2017

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28/11/2017
Country risk

Poland Insolvency Report: Insolvencies and restructuring proceedings still on the rise, despite a robust economy

Insolvencies and restructuration proceedings increased by 14% in the first three quarters of 2017 compared to the same period last year. Most sectors experienced an increase in the number of proceedings.

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28/11/2017
Country risk

Germany’s corporate payment survey 2017

The second annual corporate payment survey for Germany carried out by Coface confirms many of the foregone trends. However, some improvements can be seen

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23/11/2017
Country risk

The effects of a 'hard' Brexit will be decisive for the innovation capacity and competitiveness of the British automotive industry

After an exceptional peak in production of vehicles recorded in mid-2016 (1.02 million unit sales, up 8.5% for the January-August period compared to the same period in 2015), 2017 saw a drop in production of nearly 2% (...)

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08/11/2017
Country risk

Embargo on Qatar: Manageable for the time being, but not perennially

On June 5 2017, Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates, Egypt and Bahrain (known as the quartet) announced they were breaking diplomatic ties with Qatar (...)

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07/11/2017
Country risk

China's ambitions in sub-Saharan Africa: efforts to rebalance bi-lateral relations still needed

Almost twenty years after the launch of the first Forum on China-Africa Cooperation, China-Africa relations remain unbalanced. Bilateral trade has leaped over the past ten years (a total of $123 billion in 2016), driven, up to 2014, by exports, which have fallen by 51% since the peak.

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18/10/2017
Country risk

Argentine legislative elections: is the continuity of the pro-business direction at stake?

The trajectory of Argentina´s economic rebound will be subject to the outcome of the upcoming midterm elections on October 22.

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